Engagement 01Recommended First Step
Mitigation Case Scan
Delivered in Five Business Days
- Full file review: charges, PSR draft, discovery
- 60-min intake: theory + gaps
- Issue map + priority plan
§ 1 — Federal Sentencing Mitigation · Counsel-Directed Research
Mitigation research for federal defense counsel. From a former presentence investigator who wrote the PSR.
Desk-Based · Delivered Remotely to Counsel Anywhere in the U.S.
Named for 18 U.S.C. § 3553(a), which lists the factors courts weigh at sentencing—including the applicable Guidelines range.
§ 2 — The Premise
18 U.S.C. § 3553(a)(1) — Factors to Be Considered in Imposing a Sentence
“the nature and circumstances of the offense and the history and characteristics of the defendant;”
Guidelines calculate. Judges weigh a life.
Factor (a)(1) is that life: health, trauma, service, family, work, finances. Most records arrive broken:
We build it. Verified. Source-indexed. Ready for counsel. Read § 3553(a).
01
Five Business Days
File in. Issue map out.
02
Every Claim Sourced
Fact. Account. Gap. Never blended.
03
Attorney Work Product
Counsel-directed. Delivered for counsel's file.
§ 3 — Services
Fixed scope. Counsel-directed. Work product only. Strategy stays with counsel.
Engagement 01Recommended First Step
Delivered in Five Business Days
Engagement 02For Full Sentencing Packages
Scope and Timeline Set at the Fit Call
Engagement 03White-Collar Add-On
Attaches to a Scan or Record
Fixed fee. Quoted before work starts. Terms confirmed in writing.
§ 4 — Public-Record Case Studies
Five anonymized reconstructions. Each shows what a former PSR writer can spot early: the pressure point that changes the math, shapes the narrative, or quietly does both.
Educational material · Anonymized public-record reconstructions · PDF
These cases show why that experience is useful to defense counsel: a former U.S. Probation presentence investigator who wrote PSRs for federal judges in the Southern District of New York can test the inputs, anticipate how the narrative will read, and help build the record before the sentencing position hardens. Lead counsel keeps strategy; The 3553 Group supplies the writer-side lens.
Range Cap
Cryptocurrency Exchange
A capped range can make disputed levels look academic. A former PSR writer knows they still shape credibility, variance advocacy, collateral orders, and the record that follows the client.
A PUBLIC-RECORD PSR AUDIT CASE STUDY
(and What It Means for Your Next Case)
THE HOOK
The same public record supported four sentencing positions.
Authority: the parties’ public sentencing filings and the criminal judgment. The court’s sentencing findings are reported in the public record; the PSR itself is not reproduced here.
PUBLIC-RECORD RECONSTRUCTION
| Fact | Public support | Confidence |
|---|---|---|
| PSR subtotal: in the mid-50s | Government memo | Direct |
| Final level: capped at 43 | The level-43 cap | Direct |
| Criminal history: minimal | Government memo | Direct |
| PSR recommendation: a century | Defense memo | Direct |
| Defense model: roughly five to six years | Defense memo | Direct |
| Court sentence: 25 years | Criminal judgment | Direct |
| Full PSR narrative | Not public | Unavailable |
INDEPENDENT GUIDELINE RECONSTRUCTION
| Component | PSR | Government | Defense model |
|---|---|---|---|
| Base level | 6 | 6 | 6 |
| Loss (top bracket) | +30 | +30 | 0 |
| Victim hardship | +2 | Higher | +2 (retained) |
| Bankruptcy conduct | +2 | +2 | +2 (retained) |
| Foreign / sophisticated means | +2 | +2 | +2 (retained) |
| Financial-institution receipts | +2 | +2 | +2 (retained) |
| Money-laundering convictions | +2 | +2 | +2 (retained) |
| Sophisticated laundering | +2 | +2 | +2 (retained) |
| Organizer / leader | +4 | +4 | +4 (retained) |
| Abuse of trust | +2 | +2 | +2 (retained) |
| Obstruction | +2 | +2 | +2 (retained) |
| Adjusted subtotal | Mid-50s | High-50s | Mid-20s |
| Displayed level | 43 | 43 | Mid-20s |
| Advisory range | Life (capped) | Life (capped) | Roughly 5–6 years |
Defense-model note: the defense separately challenged bankruptcy conduct, foreign or sophisticated means, financial-institution receipts, abuse of trust, and obstruction. Its requested range model nevertheless removed only the 30-level loss increase from Probation’s subtotal. “Retained” describes the published arithmetic, not a waiver.
Authority: the parties’ public filings; USSG §§2B1.1, 2S1.1, 3B1.1, 3B1.3, 3C1.1, 3D1.2–3D1.3, 5G1.1, and 5G1.2 as cited in the parties’ submissions.
ISSUE SPOTLIGHT
| Victim group | Government position | Defense position |
|---|---|---|
| Exchange customers | Billions in alleged losses | Zero-loss theory |
| Equity investors | Hundreds of millions in alleged losses | Recovery / value challenge |
| Lenders | Over a billion in alleged losses | Recovery / value challenge |
| Combined | Billions overall | No 30-level increase |
DEFENSE-SIDE CRITIQUE
Authority: the parties’ public sentencing filings. The critique identifies advocacy tradeoffs visible in the filings; it does not claim the omitted approaches would have changed the sentence.
DEFENSE-SIDE CRITIQUE CONTINUED
| Vulnerability | Second-chair deliverable |
|---|---|
| Binary loss theory | Tiered loss + fallback grid |
| Scattered objections | Ruling-by-ruling waterfall |
| Credibility overreach | Bounded factual concessions |
| Remorse tension | Preservation / allocution script |
| Future-risk concern | Individualized control plan |
| Character proof | Firsthand, conduct-based letters |
Authority: the parties’ public sentencing filings and contemporaneous reporting. Reported sentencing remarks are used only to compare the public defense themes with the concerns the court ultimately emphasized.
WHAT THE PSR PRESENTATION OBSCURED
| Issue | Range effect | Why counsel still cares |
|---|---|---|
| Victim hardship | None at cap | Human impact narrative |
| Bankruptcy conduct | None at cap | Post-offense conduct |
| Foreign / sophisticated means | None at cap | Planning + concealment |
| Financial-institution receipts | None at cap | Institutional harm |
| Role | None at cap | Relative culpability |
| Abuse of trust | None at cap | Breach narrative |
| Obstruction | None at cap | Acceptance + credibility |
That split prevents two common errors: spending pages on low-value arithmetic while missing the factual narrative — or abandoning a valid objection simply because the range is capped.
| Priority | Range impact | Narrative impact | Action |
|---|---|---|---|
| A | High | High | Lead + develop record |
| B | Low | High | Preserve + contextualize |
| C | High | Low | Resolve cleanly |
| D | Low | Low | Correct or narrow |
Authority: the government’s public sentencing memorandum. The priority matrix is The 3553 Group’s analytical framework, not a characterization of the court’s reasoning.
THE 3553 GROUP APPROACH
A second set of eyes is most valuable when it is systematic — and when it understands how Probation builds the document the court receives. I used to write these reports for federal judges in the Southern District of New York — now I audit them for the defense. The review does not replace counsel’s advocacy; it helps counsel see the report’s architecture, pressure points, and avoidable gaps sooner.
1. REBUILD THE ARCHITECTURE Counts, grouping, cross-references, base guideline, statutory maxima, consecutive-sentence rules.
2. RECOMPUTE EVERY LEVEL Enhancements, adjustments, acceptance, criminal history, Sentencing Table output.
3. TRACE FACTS TO PROOF PSR paragraph → factual proposition → source document → gap or contradiction.
4. STRESS-TEST THE RANGE Best-supported, government, defense, and mixed-ruling scenarios.
5. RANK THE OBJECTIONS Range effect, narrative effect, evidentiary support, preservation value.
6. HAND COUNSEL AN ACTION FILE Executive memo, guideline grid, objection map, record requests, conference agenda.
OUTCOME AND MEANING
The public-record arc of the case.
| Milestone | Position or result |
|---|---|
| Probation | Century-long recommendation |
| Defense | 5–6 year guideline model |
| Government | Request of roughly four to five decades |
| Court | 25 years imprisonment |
| Supervised release | 3 years |
| Forfeiture | Multi-billion-dollar order |
| Restitution | Declined; victim-remission process authorized |
| Appeal | Judgment affirmed |
Authority: the criminal judgment and the court of appeals opinion. This document does not assess any later petition or collateral proceeding.
YOUR NEXT CASE
| When | Audit action | Counsel output |
|---|---|---|
| Day 0 | Receive PSR + key record | Scope + deadlines |
| Days 1–2 | Rebuild guideline math | Variance grid |
| Days 2–4 | Trace facts + history | Discrepancy log |
| Days 4–6 | Test high-value issues | Evidence requests |
| Days 6–8 | Draft objection roadmap | Counsel markup |
| Before deadline | Strategy conference | Approved filing plan |
Authority: Fed. R. Crim. P. 32(f) generally sets a 14-day period for written objections after receipt of the PSR, subject to the court’s schedule and any applicable order. Counsel must confirm the controlling deadline.
OPTION 1 — PSR AND GUIDELINE REVIEW
| Deliverable | What it does |
|---|---|
| Executive action memo | Leads with range drivers |
| Independent guideline grid | Rebuilds every level |
| Paragraph discrepancy log | Maps facts to evidence |
| Issue-priority matrix | Ranks effort and impact |
| Objection roadmap | Gives counsel draft blocks |
| Record-gap list | Targets missing proof |
| Counsel conference | Turns analysis into plan |
Send only the sentencing date, PSR objection deadline, federal district, conviction posture, and the issues you want pressure-tested. No client-identifying information until conflict and engagement procedures are complete.
The 3553 Group provides attorney-directed consulting analysis. It does not enter an appearance, file objections, or replace defense counsel’s legal judgment and advocacy.
SOURCES AND LIMITATIONS
[1] Government sentencing memorandum — the PSR’s guideline position, enhancement stack, criminal-history category, and the government’s sentencing request.
[2] Defense sentencing memorandum — the defense’s zero-loss model, its guideline calculation, the other PSR objections, and the reported Probation recommendation.
[3] Defense reply — the preserved loss arguments and PSR objections.
[4] Criminal judgment — the aggregate term of imprisonment, supervised release, restitution and remission treatment, and forfeiture.
[5] Court of appeals opinion — affirms the district-court judgment.
[6] Contemporaneous news reports — the court’s stated concerns at the sentencing hearing.
Loss Model
Biotech Startup
A sentencing request loses force when it cannot survive the defense’s own fallback calculation. A former PSR writer can pressure-test the primary, fallback, and mixed-ruling models before the hearing.
A PUBLIC-RECORD PSR AUDIT CASE STUDY
(and What It Means for Your Next Case)
| LIFE Advisory range calculated by Probation | UNDER A DECADE Probation recommendation |
|---|---|
| HUNDREDS OF MILLIONS vs. TENS OF MILLIONS Government vs. defense loss positions | LOW TEENS OF YEARS Sentence imposed at the low end of the range |
THE HOOK
| Position | Loss / range | Requested result | Outcome |
|---|---|---|---|
| Probation | Life advisory | Under a decade | Not adopted |
| Government | Hundreds of millions | About 15 years | Not adopted |
| Defense | Tens of millions | Home confinement or ~18 months | Not adopted |
| Court | Low nine figures | Low-teens-of-years range | Low end of the range |
Bars are illustrative midpoints of the reported ranges — the advisory life calculation is shown at the chart maximum.
Authority: Public-record sentencing materials. Positions are attributed to the party or office advancing them.
WHAT THE COURT ACTUALLY FOUND
| Component | Court finding | Level effect |
|---|---|---|
| Base offense level | USSG §2B1.1(a) | 7 |
| Loss amount | Low nine figures | +24 |
| Victim count | Roughly ten or more | +2 |
| Risk of death | Not proven | 0 |
| Organizer / leader | Not proven | 0 |
| Acceptance | Not awarded | 0 |
| Total offense level | Category I | 33 |
| Advisory range | Level 33 / CHC I | Low teens of years |
Authority: Public-record sentencing materials.
DEFENSE-SIDE CRITIQUE 1
| Defense premise | Guideline consequence | Strategic problem |
|---|---|---|
| Tens-of-millions loss | Then +22 levels | Still a severe range |
| ~10 victims if retained | Then +2 levels | Adds exposure |
| No acceptance credit | No 2-level reduction | Keeps floor higher |
| ~18-month request | Large variance | Needs concrete bridge |
DEFENSE-SIDE CRITIQUE 2
| Track | Purpose | What counsel needs |
|---|---|---|
| Guideline track | Preserve §3E1.1 | Text + unusual facts |
| Appellate track | Maintain innocence | Clean reservations |
| §3553(a) track | Show accountability | Specific acts + repair |
| Allocution track | Build credibility | No vague regret |
Authority: USSG §3E1.1 and application note 2; public-record sentencing materials.
DEFENSE-SIDE CRITIQUE 3
| Stage | Loss position | Practical effect |
|---|---|---|
| Government | Hundreds of millions | Top-end exposure |
| Probation | Far above the defense figure | Life advisory reported |
| Defense | Tens of millions | Two levels below the court |
| Court | Low nine figures | +24; level 33 |
Bar lengths use illustrative midpoints of the reported ranges. Axis ticks are scale markers, not asserted figures.
Authority: Public-record sentencing materials.
DEFENSE-SIDE CRITIQUE 4
| Issue | Required record | Sentencing action |
|---|---|---|
| Victim status | Individual proof | Object by investor |
| Reliance | Statement + timing | Test causal link |
| Loss causation | Investment-by-investment | Separate from amount |
| Reliability | Source + corroboration | Rule 32 challenge |
| Preservation | Specific grounds | Obtain ruling |
Authority: Public-record appellate materials.
DEFENSE-SIDE CRITIQUE 5
| Asset | Value | Risk if uncurated |
|---|---|---|
| 100+ letters | Breadth of support | Repetition |
| Family evidence | Human consequence | Seen as generic |
| Service history | Rehabilitation | Not offense-linked |
| No cash-out claim | Motive nuance | Does not negate harm |
| New parenthood | Family impact | Can eclipse accountability |
Authority: Public-record sentencing materials. This critique addresses presentation risk, not counsel competence or constitutional effectiveness.
THE 3553 GROUP APPROACH
THE LATER REDUCTION
| Date | Guideline range | Sentence |
|---|---|---|
| Sentencing (2022) | Level 33 / low teens of years | Low end of the range |
| Appeal (2025) | Affirmed | Affirmed |
| Guideline amendment (2026) | Level 31 / revised range | Roughly a year lower |
Authority: Public-record sentence-modification materials.
YOUR NEXT CASE
| When | PSR-audit action | Counsel output |
|---|---|---|
| Day 0 | PSR + deadline intake | Issue map |
| Days 1–2 | Rebuild calculations | Scenario grid |
| Days 2–4 | Trace facts to proof | Discrepancy log |
| Days 4–6 | Test high-value issues | Evidence plan |
| Days 6–8 | Draft objection blocks | Counsel markup |
| Before deadline | Strategy conference | Approved filing plan |
Authority: Fed. R. Crim. P. 32(f) generally provides 14 days after receipt of the PSR for written objections, subject to the court’s schedule and orders. Counsel must confirm the controlling deadline.
OPTION 1 — PSR AND GUIDELINE REVIEW
| Deliverable | What it does |
|---|---|
| Executive action memo | Leads with range drivers |
| Independent guideline grid | Rebuilds every level |
| Scenario and variance ladder | Connects math to ask |
| Loss and victim matrix | Separates sub-issues |
| Paragraph discrepancy log | Maps facts to proof |
| Objection roadmap | Protects preservation |
| Sentencing narrative matrix | Tests credibility |
| Counsel conference | Turns analysis into plan |
Send only the sentencing date, PSR objection deadline, federal district, conviction posture, and the issues you want pressure-tested. Do not include client-identifying information until conflict and engagement procedures are complete.
“I used to write these reports for federal judges in the Southern District of New York — now I audit them for the defense.”
The § 3553 Group provides attorney-directed consulting analysis. It does not enter an appearance, file objections, or replace defense counsel’s legal judgment and advocacy. Past results do not guarantee outcomes.
SOURCES AND LIMITATIONS
[1] Sentence-modification order — Public record (2026). Restates the original level-33 calculation and low-end sentence, grants the Amendment 821 reduction, and imposes a term roughly a year lower.
[2] Appellate opinion — Public record (2025). Affirms the convictions, sentences, and restitution order; addresses proof standards, loss, victim count, and late-raised arguments.
[3] Sentencing hearing minutes — Public record (2022). Records the sentence, supervised-release term, and hearing disposition.
[4] Sentencing coverage — Contemporaneous national and local reporting (2022). Reports the parties’ loss positions, Probation’s recommendation, the defense request, and the court’s findings.
[5] Pre-sentencing memorandum coverage — Trade-press reporting (2022). Reports the defense memorandum, home-confinement request, and the government’s position.
Credibility
Pharmaceutical Executive
Post-verdict conduct can become new sentencing evidence. A former PSR writer is trained to spot the contradictions that make guideline arguments, mitigation, and allocution work against one another.
A PUBLIC-RECORD PSR AUDIT CASE STUDY
(and What It Means for Your Next Case)
The defense asked for roughly a year. The government pushed for about fifteen. The court imposed roughly seven. This public-record reconstruction shows what the sentencing package got wrong — and what a former PSR writer would have audited before the hearing.
| 12–18 MONTHS Defense request | 15 YEARS Government request |
|---|---|
| 7 YEARS Sentence imposed | MULTI-MILLION Forfeiture judgment |
THE SENTENCING SPREAD
| Position | Range / request | Core premise | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| Defense | Roughly a year to eighteen months | Character + leniency | Not adopted |
| Government | About fifteen years | Fraud + deterrence | Not adopted |
| Court range | Over twenty years | Revised Guidelines | Varied downward |
| Sentence | Roughly seven years | §3553(a) judgment | Imposed |
Authority: Public court records and contemporaneous reporting. The advisory-range figures are reported in contemporaneous legal coverage; the judgment controls the sentence and monetary orders.
DEFENSE-SIDE CRITIQUE 1
| Event | Immediate consequence | Sentencing risk |
|---|---|---|
| Post-verdict remarks | Public judicial criticism | Disrespect narrative |
| Social media activity | Contradicted remorse | Minimization |
| Bounty-style post | Bail revoked | Danger + judgment |
| Custodial communications | Quoted by government | Credibility damage |
DEFENSE-SIDE CRITIQUE 2
| Model | Loss premise | Strategic use |
|---|---|---|
| Primary defense | Near-zero loss | Preserve legal position |
| Court-likely | Roughly $10M | Prepare for adverse ruling |
| Component model | Actual + intended | Attack proof separately |
| §3553(a) model | Ultimate outcomes | Variance, not erasure |
Authority: Public records.
DEFENSE-SIDE CRITIQUE 3
| Record signal | What the judge could see | Defense burden |
|---|---|---|
| Public defiance | Disrespect for process | Explain change |
| No-loss rhetoric | Victim minimization | Acknowledge harm |
| Bail violation | Poor judgment | Show controls |
| Late allocution | Possible sincerity | Corroborate over time |
DEFENSE-SIDE CRITIQUE 4
| Mitigation asset | What it supports | What it cannot answer |
|---|---|---|
| Childhood history | Context | Why lies continued |
| Scientific ability | Potential | Respect for law |
| Good deeds | Whole person | Victim experience |
| Custodial teaching | Productive custody | Pretrial sabotage |
DEFENSE-SIDE CRITIQUE 5
| Problem | Candor alone | Second-chair addition |
|---|---|---|
| Client defiance | Acknowledge it | Communication protocol |
| Contradictory posts | Explain context | Statement matrix |
| Bail violation | Express regret | Risk controls |
| Late remorse | Ask for mercy | Longitudinal proof |
THE § 3553 GROUP METHOD
| Workstream | Deliverable | Counsel value |
|---|---|---|
| Guideline math | Scenario grid | Know exposure |
| Paragraph audit | Objection matrix | Meet Rule 32 |
| Proof control | Source ledger | Challenge reliability |
| Credibility | Statement matrix | Avoid contradictions |
| Hearing plan | Issue + witness map | Obtain rulings |
| Scenario | Assumption | Advocacy posture |
|---|---|---|
| A | Near-zero loss wins | Primary calculation |
| B | Mid-range actual loss | Partial adverse |
| C | Roughly $10M total | Court-likely |
| D | All enhancements | Maximum exposure |
| Statement source | PSR issue | Required action |
|---|---|---|
| Public statements | Offense narrative | Reconcile |
| Social media | Respect for law | Contextualize |
| Bail record | Risk / compliance | Propose controls |
| Allocution draft | Acceptance | Stress-test |
FINANCIAL-ORDERS AUDIT
| Measure | Purpose | The record |
|---|---|---|
| Guideline loss | Offense severity | Roughly $10M found |
| Restitution | Victim compensation | Six-figure sum |
| Forfeiture | Disgorge proceeds | Multi-million-dollar judgment |
| Fine | Punitive sanction | Modest fine |
Authority: Public records.
FOR DEFENSE COUNSEL
WHAT IT MEANS FOR YOUR NEXT CASE
| Deliverable | Focus | Lead counsel receives |
|---|---|---|
| PSR review | Math + rule errors | Prioritized memo |
| Objection support | Paragraph + proof | Draft-ready issues |
| Sentencing package | Narrative + record | Integrated roadmap |
“I used to write these reports for federal judges in the Southern District of New York — now I audit them for the defense.”
— The 3553 Group founder
RECONSTRUCTION RECORD
This is an educational case study and reconstruction — not legal advice. It is reconstructed from public records of a real federal case, with names withheld; it does not reproduce the PSR, assert access to sealed material, diagnose counsel performance, or claim that a different presentation would have changed the sentence. Case outcomes turn on their own facts, law, judge, record, and advocacy.
Conduct
Obstruction Case
Later conduct can reshape the guideline dispute and the § 3553(a) narrative at once. A former PSR writer can see the numerical hinge and the new credibility problem before they merge in the report.
A PUBLIC-RECORD PSR AUDIT CASE STUDY
(and What It Means for Your Next Case)
| HIGH TWENTIES PSR / initial government | SEVEN–NINE YEARS Initial advisory range |
|---|---|
| MID-TEENS Defense position | JUST OVER THREE YEARS Sentence imposed |
THE CASE IN ONE PAGE
Sentencing positions on one scale: the initial range, the defense position, the minus-threat scenario, and the sentence the court imposed (figures generalized).
| Event | Public-record position | What mattered |
|---|---|---|
| Verdict | Seven counts | Obstruction-centered case |
| PSR / initial government | Level ~29; CHC I | Near seven to nine years |
| Defense | Level ~14; CHC I | Roughly one to two years; seek lower |
| Sentence | Just over three years | Below initial range |
Authority: Public sources [1]–[6].
A NOTE ON THE RECORD
THE GUIDELINE MATH
| Step | Guideline | Levels | Government / PSR theory |
|---|---|---|---|
| Base | §2J1.2(a) | 14 | Obstruction |
| Threat | §2J1.2(b)(1)(B) | +8 | Threatened injury |
| Interference | §2J1.2(b)(2) | +3 | Legislative inquiry |
| Scope | §2J1.2(b)(3)(C) | +2 | Extensive conduct |
| New obstruction | §3C1.1 | +2 | Post-indictment conduct |
Enhancement stacking: how the offense level built from a base of 14 to roughly 29 under the government / PSR position (generalized).
Authority: Public sources [1]–[3].
DEFENSE-SIDE CRITIQUE 1
| Scenario | Total level | Range at CHC I |
|---|---|---|
| All enhancements | ~29 | Near seven to nine years |
| Minus threat +8 | ~21 | Roughly three to four years |
| Base only | ~14 | Roughly one to two years |
Three very different sentencing worlds. The defense’s primary position was the mid-teens. The amended government filing highlighted the low twenties if the threat adjustment were removed. A complete defense package should be persuasive in all three.
Authority: Public sources [1]–[3].
DEFENSE-SIDE CRITIQUE 2
| Conduct | Procedural effect | Sentencing effect |
|---|---|---|
| Social-media image | Expanded gag order | Credibility risk |
| Sworn explanation | Court rejected account | §3C1.1 basis |
| Later posts | Order disputes | Pattern narrative |
| Defense filings | Clarification needed | Record complexity |
Authority: Public sources [1], [2], and [6].
DEFENSE-SIDE CRITIQUE 3
| Failure point | Public filing showed | Audit control |
|---|---|---|
| Shared knowledge | Lawyers knew different facts | Single source ledger |
| Draft review | Motion needed correction | Red-team read |
| Client approval | Advice recollection disputed | Written approval log |
| Court narrative | Explanation grew complex | One chronology |
Authority: Defense sentencing memorandum [2], especially its §3C1.1 discussion.
DEFENSE-SIDE CRITIQUE 4
| System | Question | Risk |
|---|---|---|
| Guidelines | Does §3C1.1 apply? | Two offense levels |
| §3553(a) | What does conduct show? | Respect for law |
| Release record | Were orders followed? | Judicial trust |
| Allocution | Is change credible? | Weight of mitigation |
AN UNSTABLE SENTENCING RECORD
| Actor | Public position | Defense implication |
|---|---|---|
| Trial team | Near seven to nine years | Litigate full exposure |
| Amended government | Far less reasonable | Use proportionality |
| Defense | Below roughly one to two years | Preserve objections |
| Court | Just over three years | Independent judgment |
Authority: Public sources [3]–[5].
THE § 3553 METHOD
| Workstream | Deliverable | Counsel value |
|---|---|---|
| Guideline math | Scenario grid | Know every range |
| Paragraph audit | Issue matrix | Meet Rule 32 |
| Client conduct | Event ledger | Control new facts |
| Credibility | Statement matrix | Remove conflicts |
| Hearing plan | Proof + ruling map | Obtain findings |
| Scenario | Level | Range / posture |
|---|---|---|
| PSR / initial government | ~29 | Near seven to nine years |
| No threat +8 | ~21 | Roughly three to four years |
| Defense base only | ~14 | Roughly one to two years |
| Variance case | Any adopted level | Below-range request |
| Date / event | Source | Guideline link | Action |
|---|---|---|---|
| Social-media post | Saved exhibit | §3C1.1 | Authenticate |
| Bond hearing | Transcript | Material falsity | Reconcile |
| Later posts | Court record | Willfulness | Contextualize |
| Counsel advice | Emails / notes | Attribution | Preserve |
FOR DEFENSE COUNSEL
WHAT HAPPENED NEXT
| Timing | Event | Practice significance |
|---|---|---|
| Early 2020 | Sentence of just over three years | Guideline + §3553(a) record |
| Mid-2020 | Custodial sentence commuted | Executive clemency |
| Late 2020 | Full pardon granted | Later executive action |
| Deliverable | Focus | Lead counsel receives |
|---|---|---|
| PSR review | Math + rule errors | Prioritized memo |
| Objection support | Paragraph + proof | Draft-ready issues |
| Sentencing package | Narrative + record | Integrated roadmap |
RECONSTRUCTION RECORD
[1] Government sentencing memorandum (initial filing) — Public copy of the initial filing setting out the offense level, criminal-history category, advisory range, and the asserted basis for each enhancement.
[2] Defense sentencing memorandum — Public copy of the defense filing contesting each enhancement, arguing the base level, and seeking a below-range sentence.
[3] Supplemental government memorandum — Public copy of the revised position calling the initial range potentially excessive and deferring the specific sentence to the court.
[4] District court memorandum opinion (spring 2020) — Official record summarizing the sentencing-submission sequence.
[5] Legal-press reporting (early 2020) — Contemporaneous accounts of the sentence imposed and the government’s changed recommendation.
[6] Public-radio reporting (early 2019) — Contemporaneous account of the social-media image, the resulting hearing, and the expanded media restriction.
[7] Department of Justice clemency records — Official warrants documenting the commutation and the subsequent full pardon.
Relevant Conduct
Dark-Web Marketplace
Uncharged allegations can become the center of gravity even when a limited enhancement dispute is won. A former PSR writer can help counsel bound the facts, preserve the objection, and keep accusation from hardening into narrative.
A PUBLIC-RECORD PSR AUDIT CASE STUDY
(and What It Means for Your Next Case)
| ABOVE THE TABLE MAXIMUM PSR calculation | LIFE Guideline recommendation |
|---|---|
| A FINITE TERM Defense request | LIFE Principal sentence |
THE SENTENCING SPREAD
Figure 1 — Two paths to the same sentence: the verdict path set the range; the relevant-conduct path made life feel necessary.
| Stage | Position | Number | Outcome |
|---|---|---|---|
| PSR | Total offense level | Above the table cap | Life range |
| Probation | Sentence recommendation | Life | Adopted |
| Defense | Requested term | A finite term | Rejected |
| Court | Principal sentence | Life | Imposed |
GUIDELINE RECONSTRUCTION
| Component | Public-record treatment | Range effect |
|---|---|---|
| Drug quantity | Principal driver | Life-level base |
| Directed violence | Section 2D1.1(b)(2) | +2 levels |
| Other enhancements | Included in PSR stack | Total above the cap |
| Other count groups | Lower adjusted levels | No added effect |
THE ALLEGATION MAP
| Allegation | Procedural status | Sentencing use |
|---|---|---|
| Multiple violent solicitations | Alleged in case record | Enterprise context |
| Several commissioned acts | Found by judge at sentencing | Violence + character |
| Multiple drug deaths | Described in PSR | Harm under Section 3553(a) |
| Completed killing | None established | Not required |
CASE TIMELINE
Figure 2 — The sentencing record’s procedural timeline (public record).
DEFENSE-SIDE CRITIQUE 1
| Defense position | Court response | Missing fallback |
|---|---|---|
| Fantasy, not intent | Belief acts would occur | Concede / cabin |
| No completed act | Not necessary | Weight, not exclusion |
| Uncharged conduct | Preponderance allowed | Reliability hearing |
| Finite term | Life deemed necessary | Scenario bridge |
DEFENSE-SIDE CRITIQUE 2
| Audit layer | Question | Requested relief |
|---|---|---|
| Identity | Correct buyer / account? | Delete if unproven |
| Source | Marketplace transaction? | Require records |
| Medical link | Which substance caused death? | Limit finding |
| Legal use | Range or Section 3553(a)? | Define purpose |
DEFENSE-SIDE CRITIQUE 3
| Record problem | Sentencing risk | Required bridge |
|---|---|---|
| Handoff theory | Continued denial | Preserve narrowly |
| Digital attribution | Judge credits records | Challenge by event |
| Violent messages | Dangerousness | Address directly |
| Remorse letter | Seen as partial | Corroborate change |
DEFENSE-SIDE CRITIQUE 4
| Mitigation asset | What it showed | Unanswered concern |
|---|---|---|
| Many letters | Community ties | Dangerousness |
| First offender | No prior record | Scale of conduct |
| Harm reduction | Claimed benefits | Drug deaths |
| Young age | Capacity to change | Future risk |
THE 3553 METHOD
| Workstream | Deliverable | Counsel value |
|---|---|---|
| PSR paragraphs | Objection matrix | Meet Rule 32 |
| Allegation proof | Source ledger | Test reliability |
| Guideline math | Scenario grid | Know true effect |
| Discretion | Narrative map | Frame Section 3553(a) |
| Hearing | Issue plan | Obtain rulings |
| Scenario | Guideline result | Primary advocacy |
|---|---|---|
| PSR accepted | Life | Finite variance |
| Violence +2 removed | Still life | Narrative value |
| Deaths excluded | Same range | Harm weighting |
| All allegations credited | Life | Risk controls |
CURRENT-LAW CODA
| Conduct type | Guideline treatment after 826 | Caution |
|---|---|---|
| Federal acquittal | Generally excluded | Conviction overlap |
| Uncharged conduct | Not addressed | Still contestable |
| Dismissed conduct | Not addressed | Still contestable |
| Section 3661 information | Court authority preserved | Variance use |
FOR DEFENSE COUNSEL
WHAT IT MEANS FOR YOUR NEXT CASE
| Deliverable | Focus | Lead counsel receives |
|---|---|---|
| PSR audit | Math + fact + source | Prioritized memo |
| Objection support | Paragraph + proof | Draft-ready issues |
| Sentencing package | Narrative + mitigation | Integrated roadmap |
RECONSTRUCTION RECORD
§ 5 — The Approach
No source, no entry. Gaps flagged — never filled.
No field work. No surveillance. Remote + desk-based. Faster, fixed-fee.
Encrypted storage. Least-access. Documented deletion.
§ 6 — The Founder
Former federal presentence investigator. Now defense-side.
Best fit: solo & boutique federal defense. White-collar, organized crime, complex sentencing. No in-house mitigation specialist. DC / MD / VA first.
§ 7 — Questions Counsel Ask
No. Counsel only. Counsel-directed. Attorney work product.
No. Not a law firm. Strategy and filings stay with counsel.
No. Remote only. Secure video/phone. Desk-based records.
Five business days from complete file.
15 minutes. One question: Is there mitigation worth building?
Yes. Eligible prisoners may earn credits from commencement of term through qualifying programming — ~20 extra days on recent averages. Record should document: needs, programming recommendations, designation delay. PSR audit checks it. Counsel-directed; not legal advice.
§ 8 — Contact
Where is the record thin? Where is it financially complex? If a Scan helps, I'll say so. If not, I'll say that.
Founder
Adam I. Ocner
The 3553 Group
Delivery
Desk-based, remote-first
Serving federal defense counsel anywhere in the U.S.